Pair #3427

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-KMIT

Will Keith Mitchell lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19748

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keith Mitchell is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KMIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17316

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:35Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 final finish (could miss the cut or fall), and a top 20 finish does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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