Pair #3424

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-KMIT

Will Keith Mitchell win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 321256

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-KMIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17316

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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