Pair #3422

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-KMIT

Will Keith Mitchell win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 321256

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-KMIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Keith Mitchell finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6482

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:35Z

Reasoning: If Keith Mitchell wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not require a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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