Pair #3420

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-NHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7066

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0400
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-NHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10054

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:17Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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