Pair #3419

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-NHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17852

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0300
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-NHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7066

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0400
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:17Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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