Pair #3418

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-NHOJ

Will Nicolai Hojgaard lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13411

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-NHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10054

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:17Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 final finish (could miss cut or fall back), and finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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