Pair #3415

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-NHOJ

Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1914315

YES ask: 0.4600
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolai Hojgaard wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-NHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Nicolai Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Nicolai Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10054

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:17Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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