Pair #3405

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-BHOR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Billy Horschel make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3731

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-BHOR

Will Billy Horschel lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 56127

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:01Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not logically guarantee making the cut — a player could have a terrible Round 2 and miss the cut. Making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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