Pair #3404

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BHOR

Will Billy Horschel win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 50029

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BHOR

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Billy Horschel finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3734

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:01Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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