Pair #3401

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MHUG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mackenzie Hughes finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mackenzie Hughes
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1750

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mackenzie Hughes finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MHUG

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mackenzie Hughes finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mackenzie Hughes
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4482

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mackenzie Hughes finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:09:01Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish is necessarily also a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing between 11th and 20th is top 20 but not top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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