Pair #3391

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RFOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4271

YES ask: 0.3200
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-RFOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rickie Fowler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5999

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rickie Fowler has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:42Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means Fowler made the cut (you cannot finish top 10 without surviving the cut). However, making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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