Pair #3387

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-RFOW

Will Rickie Fowler win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 587153

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-RFOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7702

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:42Z

Reasoning: Winning means finishing 1st, which is necessarily top 5. The reverse does not hold — top 5 does not require winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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