Pair #3385

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-RFOW

Will Rickie Fowler win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 587153

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-RFOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rickie Fowler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 5999

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:24Z

Reasoning: If Fowler wins the tournament, he must have made the cut (you cannot win without surviving the cut). The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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