Pair #3375

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SJAE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 30845

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SJAE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 13656

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Stephan Jaeger has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:24Z

Reasoning: If Jaeger finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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