Pair #3373

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SJAE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 13656

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SJAE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13800

YES ask: 0.3200
NO ask: 0.7200
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:06Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish (many players make the cut but finish outside top 10), and finishing top 10 implies making the cut but that direction is B→A not A→B. Wait — top 10 finish does imply making the cut, so the antecedent is KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SJAE implying KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SJAE.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue