Pair #3368

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SJAE

Will Stephan Jaeger win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 636868

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SJAE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 13800

YES ask: 0.3200
NO ask: 0.7200
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:06Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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