Pair #3367

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SJAE

Will Stephan Jaeger win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 636868

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SJAE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Stephan Jaeger make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Stephan Jaeger
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 13656

YES ask: 0.9700
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stephan Jaeger has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:06Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires completing all rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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