Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ISAL
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 908
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ISAL
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4189
YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:06Z
Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0400
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A