Pair #3364

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-ISAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1130

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ISAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 908

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:06Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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