Pair #3363

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-ISAL

Will Isaiah Salinda lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6831

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ISAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 908

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:08:06Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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