Pair #3360

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-ISAL

Will Isaiah Salinda win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8039

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Isaiah Salinda wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ISAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 908

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:48Z

Reasoning: If Isaiah Salinda wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 10. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue