Pair #336

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHL-26-CAR

Will Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: Carolina Hurricanes
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4539802

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-CAR

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Carolina Hurricanes
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 10706

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Carolina Hurricanes wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:07:11Z

Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup Finals is a playoff achievement and has no logical connection to winning the President's Trophy (best regular season record). A team can win the Cup without having the best regular season record, and vice versa. No implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4400
Days to maturity: 31
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

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