Pair #3357

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-FIL

Will Arthur Fils win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Arthur Fils
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 47498

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1200

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Rules

If Arthur Fils wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR25PAUFIL-FIL

Will Arthur Fils win the Paul vs Fils : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Arthur Fils
Expiration: 2026-03-26T03:10:00Z
Volume: 17796

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Arthur Fils wins the Paul vs Fils professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:48Z

Reasoning: If Arthur Fils wins the Miami Open, he must have won every match including the quarterfinal against Paul. The reverse does not hold — winning the quarterfinal does not guarantee winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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