Pair #3352

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5678

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5887

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:48Z

Reasoning: If Tom Kim finishes top 5, he necessarily also finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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