Pair #3350

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 66852

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5887

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:48Z

Reasoning: If Tom Kim wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily inside the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue