Pair #3348

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5887

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 425844

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Houston Open are independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.6810
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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