Pair #3347

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-WZAL

Will Will Zalatoris lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3629

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-WZAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5575

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:30Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish — a player could collapse over subsequent rounds. And finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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