Pair #3346

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-WZAL

Will Will Zalatoris win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 98823

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-WZAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5575

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:30Z

Reasoning: If Zalatoris wins the Houston Open, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily a top 20 finish. The reverse is not true — he could finish top 20 without winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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