Pair #3343

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5034

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1680

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:30Z

Reasoning: If Howell finishes top 20, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish top 20 without surviving the cut). The reverse is not true — he could make the cut but finish outside the top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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