Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MHOW
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5034
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Mason Howell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MHOW
Will Mason Howell win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 601551
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Mason Howell wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:30Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Houston Open are independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0010
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A