Pair #3341

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1680

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MHOW

Will Mason Howell win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 601551

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:30Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Houston Open are independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9910
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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