Pair #3335

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 37622

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-WCLA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9362

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:07:13Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top-10 finish (a player can collapse over subsequent rounds), and finishing top 10 does not require having led after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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