Pair #3325

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1976

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7261

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:58Z

Reasoning: If Ryan Fox finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold: positions 6-20 satisfy top 20 but not top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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