Pair #3319

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-RFOX

Will Ryan Fox win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 526270

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2827

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:58Z

Reasoning: If Ryan Fox wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold: a top 10 finish does not require winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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