Pair #3317

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2827

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

Rules

If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RFOX

Will Ryan Fox win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 775874

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:58Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters Tournament and finishing top 10 at the Texas Children's Houston Open are entirely separate events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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