Pair #3314

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sungjae Im finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8247

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sungjae Im finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sungjae Im make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3722

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sungjae Im has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:58Z

Reasoning: If Sungjae Im finishes top 20, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish top 20 without surviving the cut). The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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