Pair #3310

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sungjae Im make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3722

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sungjae Im has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SIM

Will Sungjae Im lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 25752

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sungjae Im is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:40Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut. And making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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