Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHLPACIFIC-26-LA
Will Los Angeles Kings win the NHL Pacific Division?
Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Los Angeles Kings
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 20470
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPRES-26-LA
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?
Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Los Angeles Kings
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2097
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Los Angeles Kings wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:07:11Z
Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best record in the NHL) does not require winning the Pacific Division — a team could have the best record while finishing second in their division if another team in the division had a better record... actually the team with the best record in the league would win their division too. However, winning the Pacific Division does not imply winning the President's Trophy (another team could have a better overall record). And winning the President's Trophy does not strictly require winning the Pacific Division — theoretically a team could have the best record in the league but another team in their division could also have a better record... No, if LA has the best record in the entire NHL, they must have the best record in their division too, so they would win the Pacific Division. But actually division titles in NHL are determined by points within the division, so the President's Trophy winner (best record in NHL) would necessarily have the best record in their division and thus win their division. So KXNHLPRES-26-LA implies KXNHLPACIFIC-26-LA. But the reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A