Pair #3309

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SIM

Will Sungjae Im win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 254538

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sungjae Im wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sungjae Im finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2744

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sungjae Im finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:40Z

Reasoning: Winning the Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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