Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SIM
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sungjae Im finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2744
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sungjae Im finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-SJIM
Will Sungjae Im win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2280125
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sungjae Im wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:40Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Houston Open are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0010
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A