Pair #3303

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-HHAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Harry Hall finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1107

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-HHAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Harry Hall finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2257

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:40Z

Reasoning: If Harry Hall finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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