Pair #330

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLWEST-26-LA

Western Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Los Angeles Kings
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 123731

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles Kings wins the Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-LA

Will the Los Angeles Kings be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Los Angeles Kings
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 152149

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Los Angeles Kings are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:46Z

Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals requires having qualified for the playoffs first. So Western Conference Finals win → Playoff Qualifier. Making the playoffs does not imply winning the Western Conference Finals. One direction holds.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -99.98% (negative yield)
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: 30
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.20% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:30:03Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue