Pair #3298

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-HHAL

Will Harry Hall lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6077

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-HHAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Harry Hall finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4410

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:22Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee any particular final finishing position. A player can lead R1 and still miss the cut or finish outside the top 10. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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