Pair #3295

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-HHAL

Will Harry Hall win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 138538

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Harry Hall wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-HHAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Harry Hall finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4410

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Harry Hall finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:22Z

Reasoning: If Harry Hall wins the Houston Open, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 10. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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