Pair #3293

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-HHAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Harry Hall finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1107

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-HHAL

Will Harry Hall win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1036835

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:22Z

Reasoning: These are two entirely different tournaments (Masters vs. Houston Open). No logical necessity exists between winning one and finishing top 5 in the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue