Pair #3292

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-HHAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Harry Hall finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4410

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-HHAL

Will Harry Hall win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Harry Hall
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1036835

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Harry Hall wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:22Z

Reasoning: These are two entirely different tournaments (Masters vs. Houston Open). Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on Harry Hall's finish at the Houston Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9910
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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