Pair #3290

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BCAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brian Campbell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 24589

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Campbell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-BCAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brian Campbell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 40680

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Brian Campbell has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:22Z

Reasoning: If Brian Campbell finishes top 20, he must have made the cut. However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 20 — he could finish outside the top 20 after making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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