Pair #329

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-LA

Will Los Angeles Kings win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Los Angeles Kings
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 20470

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-LA

Will the Los Angeles Kings be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Los Angeles Kings
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 152149

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Los Angeles Kings are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:46Z

Reasoning: Winning the Pacific Division guarantees a playoff spot (all division winners qualify). Making the playoffs does not require winning the division — wild card entry is possible. So Pacific Division win → Playoff Qualifier, but not vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:37:04Z

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