Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BCAM
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brian Campbell finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6622
YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brian Campbell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-BCAM
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brian Campbell make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 40680
YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.4900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brian Campbell has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:04Z
Reasoning: If Brian Campbell finishes top 10, he must have made the cut. But making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.4900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A