Pair #3288

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BCAM

Will Brian Campbell win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7006

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Campbell wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-BCAM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Brian Campbell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 24589

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Campbell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:06:04Z

Reasoning: If Brian Campbell wins the Houston Open, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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